Saturday, 4 May 2013

Ondor Edwin: The Politics of Fuel Subsidy



During the opening session of the maiden Presidential retreat with selected business moguls of the private sector held at the Banquet Hall of Aso Rock recently, the president assured the nation in a tentative policy statement that  generated furore, that the proceeds from the planned fuel subsidy would be invested in creating an abundance of ‘tangible infrastructure’ and  the provision of ‘social safety nets and other mechanisms to moderate the impact of the reforms on the most vulnerable segments of our society’. On paper, this is a  fine, open-ended statement!  In reality, it sounds like a comedy of error. It is a daunting task to attempt to conceive the viability of this political statement and how it can kick-start our crawling economy.

 It is also difficult to fathom how it can revamp our decaying infrastructure (including the four obituary refineries in their final state of atrophy). How can these presidential words translate into a plethora of job opportunities for the restive Nigerian unemployed graduates that have saturated the streets of our urban centres with ice-cold frustration and the bleak prospect of a hopeless tomorrow? Under a different and realistic setting where government is accountable, prudent and disciplined in managing resources at its disposal, such a magnificent proclamation would have counted as good news, capable of eliciting and igniting  hope among the citizens. Unfortunately, the president’s comforting statement sounds like  nineteen to the dozen,  a recurring decimal almost  bordering on a hollow chant  from  a funeral dirge.
President Jonathan’s predecessors at various points sing-sang the harsh and unpatriotic song of fuel subsidy with attendant repercussions. Retired president Obansajo, following  Babangida’s trail, increased the pump price of fuel five times. He took the nation through a labyrinth of incessant fuel increase during his tenure. It has become something akin to a political jamboree for our leaders to tinker with, and politicize the issue of fuel subsidy. One cannot help but wonder why fuel subsidy has become a recurring phenomenon and propaganda tool in our political history.
The argument advanced by the government is that fuel consumption is so heavily subsidized that our economy is operating at a zero-deficit. According to the government’s economic forecast and calibration, about N1.2 trillion would be saved if the revenue-draining subsidy is removed. It is interesting to note that this is coming up as an issue in the wake of the clamour  for the legislated N 18,000 national minimum wage benchmark. Again, one is forced to wonder if this shoddy arrangement is government’s brazen attempt to source the alternative fund that can be channeled towards the  minimum wage cause! Is this campaign about the redistribution theory of national resources?
Nigerians have been assured that the subsidy will be removed in phases to cushion the effects. Proceeds from the exercise would be used to turn-around the economy, build more refineries [perhaps in Indonesia, as the grapevine suggests] and provide safety nets for the poor segment of the society. In view of our antecedents, how safe is the safety nets? What happened to the Petroleum Trust Fund that Abacha instituted? Was it prudently utilized for the common good in all ramifications? What about the 12 billion dollars oil windfall from Operation Desert Storm?  Your guess is as good as mine!
It is a frequent and sorry sight to see Nigerians queue under inclement weather conditions at filling stations to buy kerosene which always hovers between 85 naira and N100 per litre,  against the approved 50 naira litre price. By all standard of decency and justice, does this  scenario look like the  ‘safety nets for the poor’? The proposed subsidy removal, if it is implemented, will certainly lead to inflation! It will make utter nonsense of the minimum wage and will send the economy on a  downward spiral. The cost of transportation and other daily necessities will skyrocket out of the reach of the common man who is always at the receiving end of  anti-people policies such as this.
Rather than rely on the perpetual importation of petroleum products by the fuel cartel who feed fat on the populace with Machiavellian propensity, our dislocated and non-functional refineries should be resuscitated, as a matter of urgent necessity, to the point where they can roar back to life. Unfortunately, this could be a gigantic expectation with dismal prospect due to the dearth of maintenance culture in our public and private lives as a people. The monthly N20 billion allocation approved for domestic fuel subsidy for the NNPC  and the N8.8 billion earmarked for the independent marketers as stipulated by the 2011 Appropriation Act, will no longer be needful or necessary when the comatose refineries are back on their feet, working alongside new ones . When the refining of petroleum product becomes wholly indigenous, more jobs will be created, through the process, for the ever-expanding soldiers of unemployed Nigerian graduates. The only impediment against this is the institutional corruption ravaging the NNPC, the government’s vested interest in the oil sector. Nigerians are wary with government’s never-ending  roller coaster pledge to use the subsidy reserve to  build more refineries. These are blurred and indistinct statements of intention that have never seen the light of day because of the mountain of corruption inherent in the system.
One can only agree with senator Abubakar Saraki  who called for an investigation into the management of fuel subsidies, past and present. As long as the cartel within the petroleum industry controls the playing field, Nigerians will not benefit from the deregulation exercise, even if government justifies the need for its execution. The implementation of the subsidy policy has always been grossly abused as  statistics reveals. The import-driven deregulation is not a palatable panacea for our national  economic woes. Deregulating the downstream petroleum sector will only worsen the living conditions of the already impoverished  masses.
As an oil- producing country, Nigerians are entitled to subsidy. In Libya for example, fuel pump price currently stands at N22 in spite of the  political skirmish that enveloped the country during the dying days of the late Gaddaffi junta.  Agriculture, electricity and other social utilities are heavily subsidized. Before the war, the country had an uninterrupted power and water supply while the government-supported medical facilities ranked among the best in the world.  Libya’s  foreign reserve stands at a whopping 165 billion US dollars,  in spite of the ongoing political transition campaign.
If the deregulation programme must be implemented in good faith, government must present a blueprint, a workable and feasible action- plan on how the fund will be judiciously utilized for the benefit of all Nigerians.  Nigerians  must be given the opportunity to debate  the nitty gritty and gray areas of the project before its passage into law. We need to see the  time table for the proposed subsidy, with pertinent details of the timeline for the actualization of the people-oriented, beneficial programmes of the subsidy. For instance, wouldn’t it be a proactive thing to do if the government can build functional and effective refineries for all the six geopolitical zones?  The benefits  of the proposed subsidy must be concrete and palpable, not something trapped within the realm of guess work and political statement that can fizzle out with the passage of time.
It would  seem to any cursory observer of national issues, that the fuel subsidy matter, like the  proposed, now still-birth one-term tenure of political office holder is an ill-thought out policy statement bereft of popular appeal. It is an ill wind that will not blow us any good.  As the leader of a responsible government, GEJ  must settle down to the credible art of governance with the concomitant responsibility and commitment to the provision of good roads, stable power supply, functional education, massive employment opportunities for all and sundry, and the enabling environment for self-actualization to every Nigerian citizen. These, and not the degradation of the masses through this draconian policy, should be his primary objective and focus towards the electorate that voted him into power. With the  vast human and natural resources at our disposal, there are a thousand and one ways to source for funds to  manage and run the economy of this great country without putting the people at dire straits. Where is the benefit of GEJ’s transformation agenda if this proposed subsidy became a reality? The transformation agenda would inevitably become a deformation agenda in the final analysis if the subsidy on fuel is effected. It will certainly represent a sad commentary on GEJ’s efficiency, proficiency and integrity in managing the affairs of the ship of state. Is this  a   dark patch on his plummeting profile in the Nigerian political space, or a political move devoid of rational logic and social responsibility?
Edwin Ondor lives in Lagos and can be reached on 08088884727 or edwinwins2002@yahoo.com






                 













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